Tuesday, January 5, 2016

Gunmaker's Stock Hits All-Time High As Obama Expands Background Checks

Smith & Wesson rose 11% Tuesday, with investors anticipating another gun buying spree.

White House / Via WhiteHouse.gov

Shares of gun manufacturers soared today as President Obama outlined a series of executive actions meant to expand background checks for firearm sales.

Smith & Wesson rose 11% to close at $25.86, its highest closing price since it began trading more than a decade ago, while Sturm Ruger jumped 7% to $65.54. The broader S&P 500 rose just 0.2% for the day.

Gun stocks tend to rally at any talk of gun control, which often serves as a catalyst for sales. Demand for firearms hit an all-time high in 2013 after the mass shooting at Sandy Hook Elementary School in Newtown, Connecticut — gun buyers became so convinced that a crackdown was approaching that the industry was hit by "panic buying," as Dick's Sporting Goods CEO Ed Stack put it on a conference call in 2014.

"Contrary to what common sense would seem to dictate, the data would suggest that a Democrat in the White House, and more specifically a Democrat campaigning to be in the White House, is very good for the gun industry, at least in the short run," analysts at Wedbush Securities wrote in an October note.

"Although Barack Obama has done nothing (at least so far) to advance the cause of gun control, he has been labeled the 'gun salesman of the decade," the analysts wrote at the time.

Google Finance / Via google.com

Smith & Wesson raised its earnings forecast for the year ending April 30 on Monday night, citing higher than expected sales at its distributors and "strong growth" in background checks for December.

Obama said on Friday that he was looking at measures to fight the nation's "epidemic of gun violence" in his last year in office.

"I believe in the Second Amendment. No matter how many times people try to twist my words. I taught constitutional law, I know a little bit about this," Obama said on Tuesday. "We can find ways to reduce gun violence consistent with the Second Amendment."


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The Affordable Care Act Hasn't Led To More Part-Timers, Study Says

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When the 2010 Affordable Care Act took effect, some policymakers worried the law would cause companies to reduce workers' hours to avoid new costs. Since the ACA mandates employers provide insurance to all "full-time" employees (those working 30 hours or more), some argued workers would likely see their hours capped at 29.

A report released today, examining data from the Current Population Survey (CPS) for 2005–15, found limited evidence this really happened.

Asako Moriya, of the Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality (AHRQ), and Professor Kosali Simon, of Indiana University School of Public and Environmental Affairs, with other authors, determined the adjusted probability of working part-time before and after the ACA's enactment did not show significant change.

"We did not see increases in 2015 in the probability of working either 25–29 hours or fewer than 25 hours per week," the authors wrote. "Moreover, the increased prevalence from 2013 to 2014 in working 25–29 hours, while significant, was small (0.18 percentage points) and reflected an upward trend that began before passage of the ACA."

Health Affairs

The data also did not show a large reduction in 2015 (or in 2014, for that matter) in the frequency of employees working 30–34 hours, as one might expect if employers reduced hours for workers just above the 30-hour threshold.

A FiveThirtyEight analysis of the data from last January, and a separate Urban Institute report, supported the same conclusion: the ACA hasn't led to a significant number of workers being shifted from full-time employment to part-time.

But the article also noted that evidence suggests the Act "has led some employers to limit the hours of workers who were already part-time, effectively giving a pay cut to some of the most vulnerable Americans," since cuts in hours mainly hit low-wage workers.

FiveThirtyEight's Ben Casselman estimated "the health law has likely led a few hundred thousand workers to see their hours cut or capped. That’s small in the context of an economy with 150 million workers. But it isn’t a minor issue for those workers. Most of them are among the economy’s most vulnerable: low-wage, part-time workers who likely have few other options."

Worker advocates maintain this risk is real and pernicious. "It’s important to consider how erratic work schedules have blurred the line between full-time and part-time work, and also increased turnover," said Carrie Gleason, Director of the Fair Workweek Initiative. "In low wage retail and fast food industries, unpredictable schedules and high turnover make it easy for employers to avoid the health care mandate without cutting hours."

Jed Graham at Investor’s Business Daily has compiled a list of employers who have cut hours for hundreds of workers since 2012.

"There’s certainly evidence for other groups — sub-groups — where there seem to be increases in part-time work,” Professor Simon told BuzzFeed News, citing workers with only high-school level education and older employees. "But at the aggregate national level, there is no statistically significant change.”


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Monday, January 4, 2016

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Chick-Fil-A's Only New York City Restaurant Closes After 6 Violations

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Just three months after opening its first stand-alone store in New York City, Chick-fil-A voluntarily closed its popular restaurant on Dec. 30 after city health inspectors cited a number of violations.

A sign on the store window indicated it planned to reopen on Monday, but the chain said in a statement on its website that the decision was made to remain closed "until we feel confident we are exceeding standards in all areas."

The company did not indicate when it would reopen.

This was the restaurant's second inspection. The first, conducted on Dec. 15, indicated problems with "hot food item not held at or above 140º F," flies, and that the facility was not vermin proof. However, the New York City Department of Health and Mental Hygiene did not close the restaurant. Mandatory closures only occur when there is a public health hazard that cannot be corrected at the time of the inspection.

These were the six violations from the city's latest inspection conducted on Dec. 24. Additional details on each violation were not immediately available from the city agency.

1. "Cold food item held above 41º F."

Liubov Shirokova / Getty Images

2. "Food not cooled by an approved method whereby the internal product temperature is reduced from 140º F to 70º F or less within two hours, and from 70º F to 41º F or less within four additional hours."

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3. "Filth flies or food/refuse/sewage-associated (FRSA) flies present in facility’s food and/or non-food areas."

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4. "Food not protected from potential source of contamination during storage, preparation, transportation, display or service."

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5. "Wiping cloths soiled or not stored in sanitizing solution."

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6. "Facility not vermin proof. Harborage or conditions conducive to attracting vermin to the premises and/or allowing vermin to exist."

Lutique / Getty Images

Additional details about each violation were not immediately available from the health department on Monday.


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